Friday, November 11, 2011

Week 11: The picks are in! The Picks are in!


Week 11 Saturday is upon us and we're feeling good at TNG. Palo Alto is the place to be and a certain member of our two white crew will be in the area to catch the excitement that will be Stanford-Oregon. The country will also be paying attention to State College, where one of the more tragic off the field stories continues to unfold. Let's get to the picks...

Marcus says...

Iowa +3 vs. Michigan State
The line hasn’t moved and the game is being overshadowed in the Big Ten by the mess in not-so Happy Valley, but this is clearly the biggest football game in the Big Ten this weekend.  As we mentioned earlier this week, Sparty is seeking revenge after being embarrassed last year in Iowa City.  The Hawkeyes are tough to beat at home, but I see a good D’Antonio gameplan executed and a cover for MSU.  

Penn State +3 vs. Nebraska
The Nittany Lions are underdogs are home, but expect a spirited crowd on Saturday.  Former players, the community, and the student body are all rallying around the beloved coach Joe Paterno, who was dismissed earlier this week for his poor judgement in the handling of the disgusting Jerry Sandusky situation.  On the field, Nebraska has the better talent but I see a spirited Penn State team taking the field.  I’m taking PSU and the points.    

Cincinnati -3.5 vs. West Virginia
West Virginia heads to the ‘Nati Saturday as it’s the Bearcats that are now the lone ranked Big East team eyeing the BCS bid.  Cincinnati has comeback to win their last 3 league games, including a tough win on the road at Pitt last week.  West Virginia’s defense has let their prolific offense down in their two league losses and face another tough test against Collaros and Cincy offense.  I expect the Bearcats to come in a little overconfident and to come up short against Geno Smith and the Mountaineers.  Take WVU and the points.

Clemson -17 vs. Wake Forest
Clemson welcomes the Demon Deacons into Memorial Stadium Saturday coming off their first loss of the season at Georgia Tech.  Wake has lost two straight, including a tough loss against Notre Dame last week.  Expect the Tiger offense to get back on track and protect the football unlike last week where they turned it over 4 times.  Wake is giving up 28 points a game on average and expect Clemson to hang 45 and cover the spread.

Kyle says...

Oregon @ Stanford -3.5
Gameday is going to be in Palo Alto for the first time ever, and the scene is guaranteed to be electric in the South Bay. The Ducks are coming on strong and LaMichael James is getting back into Heisman finalist shape. The Cardinal are banged up on both sides of the ball, and I’m afraid home field advantage isn’t going to overcome the talent disparity in healthy players. Oregon wins and beats the spread.

Oklahoma State -18.5 @ Texas Tech
This line has grown legs over the week, jumping up from 17 to 18.5, and the book at the Lake Tahoe Hyatt thinks it may grow a little further by gametime. Look, there’s nothing more that needs to be said about OSU. The Cowboys are a force. But an 18.5 pt force? They are averaging a victory margin of 19.6 ppg in the conference, and with the defense in Lubbock still trying to find the field, I’d say your money’s safe with the Cowboys covering.

Auburn @ Georgia -12
This might be the least entertaining ranked-on-ranked battle this week. Auburn can’t find its passing game (bottom 30 in the nation), and while Georgia has a shutdown defense, its offense rarely does it pretty. Auburn is good enough in the running game (top 30 in the nation) and on the defensive side of the ball that they cover in a loss in an ugly showdown in Athens.

TCU @ Boise St. -15.5
This isn’t the TCU defense that shut Kellen Moore out of the end zone in the past. Ranked 34th in points for, they aren’t bad, but you have to do a lot better than that to slow the Broncos’ 7th ranked offense on the Smurf Turf. TCU doesn’t have the passing game they did last year with Andy Dalton, and subsequently just will not be able to keep up with an offense scoring 44 points per game. Boise covers.

Season Standings:

Kyle - 20-18-2
Marcus - 19-21-0

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