Here we are. The (effective) last week of games in the regular season. Get ready to get down on a slate of games this weekend that includes bigtime matchups in the SEC, B1G, BIG 12 and yes, even the ACC. As a point of order, Marcus made his Ohio—NIU pick well before kickoff; I just took forever to post it. Onto the picks...
Marcus says...
Michigan State +10 vs. Wisconsin (in Indianapolis)
The inaugural Big Ten Championship game is a rematch of the thriller that was the October 22 contest in East Lansing. That game ended with a Spartan W, thanks to a last second hail mary from Cousins to Nichol. MSU got all the breaks in that game and their defense had trouble containing Russell Wilson and the Badger offense. Wiscy ended up losing two straight, but finished the season strong to earn a Big Ten Leaders division title and a berth in the title game. Montee Ball has been terrorizing defenses, with 11 TDs in the last 4 games. Kirk Cousins and B.J. Cunningham keep cementing their places in Spartan history and will need to put some points up on the board. This is going to be a tough game for Sparty, but they win if they can control the ball and keep the Badger offense off the field. I’m taking MSU and the points.
Virginia Tech -7 vs. Clemson (in Charlotte)
The ACC title game gives Va Tech another shot at a Clemson team that handed them their only loss of the season. We’ve written a lot about Coach Dabo Swinney’s Tiger team, who have gone from National Championship contention to losing 3 of 4. Clemson was exposed against Georgia Tech and QB Tajh Boyd hasn’t been the same since. The Hokie defense blanked Virginia last wek and isn’t look to help Boyd get his groove back. Expect Logan Thomas and Va Tech to have a good day and cover the spread.
Northern Illinois -3.5 vs. Ohio (in Detroit)
The MAC title game at Ford Field pits the high flying Northern Illinois offense against a very balanced Ohio squad on Friday night. Last season the Huskies came into the game behind star QB Chandler Harnish ranked in the Top 25 and expected to roll through Miami (OH). The Redhawks ended up upsetting NIU and the Huskies have been itching to get back to the title game ever since. Ohio is led by sophomore QB Tyler Tettleton (yes Detroit Tiger fans, that’s Mickey’s kid) who does it all for the Bobcats when it comes to scoring. Tettleton has thrown for 26 TDs and ran for 8 more. Ohio will try to slow the game down, but won’t be able to. I’m taking NIU to cover.
Cincinnati -9 vs. UConn
Nobody is cheering harder for Cincinnati than West Virginia in this one. With a Bearcat win, there will be a three way tie atop the Big East between WVU, Cincy and Louisville. Based on rankings, the Mountaineers would be headed to the BCS. QB Zach Callaros knows that his team isn’t headed to the BCS, but at this point a share of the Big East title would feel good after a disappointing 4-8 campaign last season. UConn has been largely inconsistent and hasn’t won two games in a row all season. RB Lyle McCombs has had a stellar freshmen year, but this season won’t end on a positive note. They’ll be partying in Morgantown (think burning couches) on Saturday night after Cincy wins and covers the spread.
Kyle says...
UCLA @ Oregon -31
Is it basketball season yet? UCLA's humiliation won't be forgotten until March, as it's scheduled to be nationally televised tonight. Look for Oregon to take out a lot of unchecked agression on the wallowers from Westwood. Ducks cover.
UNLV @ TCU -38.5
Vegas knows this team well. Look for TCU to make a statement as they emphatically grab their first MWC title—with Boise State in the league—tomorrow. Frogs cover.
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State -3.5
OSU is plain better than OU this year, but I'm not quite sure how much better. Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon prevail in a shootout, but OU covers.
Georgia vs. LSU -13 (in Atlanta)
Ugga is hot, on a 10 game win streak... but nobody is hotter than the boys from the Bayou. LSU covers in what'll likely be a blowout considering Georgia's wins have come against teams with the consistency and polish of dogshit.
Season Standings:
Kyle - 25-25-2
Marcus - 24-27-1
Friday, December 2, 2011
Wednesday, November 30, 2011
Championship Week: PAC 12, SEC, Big 12, WAC and MWAC
Welcome to Championship Week at TNG. We're going to break down the premier matchups in all the land this week, as well as the dogshit the PAC 12 is calling a title game. So hold on and pick like we pick, because like Jim Boeheim, we stand behind our picks completely, and if you disagree with us, you're a moneygrubber, until proven otherwise.
PAC 12
UCLA @ Oregon -31.5
BIG 12
Iowa State @ Kansas State -11.5
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State -3.5
Texas @ Baylor -3.5
SEC
Georgia vs. LSU -13.5 (Atlanta)
WAC
Idaho @ Nevada -20
BYU @ Hawaii -7.5
Utah State -13 @ NMSU
Fresno State @ SDSU -8
MWAC
Wyoming -6 @ Colorado State
UNLV @ TCU -38.5
New Mexico @ Boise State -49
Kyle says...
New Mexico @ Boise State -49
Raise your hand if you thought Boise would be playing this game without a (realistic) shot at the MWC title? Nobody? Right. My first inkling was that the Broncos would come out somewhat flat and fail to cover such a gargantuan line because of some residual sadness. But then I took a look at UNM's average margin of defeat and changed my tune. The moribund Lobos gave it up like Robert E. Lee this year, losing by an average of 49 to the five high-performing offenses it faced this season: Air Force, Arkansas, Texas Tech, TCU and Nevada. Exactly none of those teams can match Kellen Moore and crew for output, as the Broncos put up 43-plus points per game. Look for New Mexico to catch a stomping on the smurf turf as Boise covers.
UCLA @ Oregon -31.5
The Bruins backed into the title game and get the reward of playing an Oregon team that is the class of the PAC 12, even if it isn't as good as everyone thought it would be. There's just no way the Bruins with their 88th ranked passing attack can keep up with the Ducks, whose offensive accomplishments read like a record book at most other schools: 45.9 ppg on the season, average margin of victory of nearly 23 points and 25 touchdowns out of its duo of running backs. Oregon covers in the PAC 12's inaugural title matchup Friday in Eugene.
Georgia vs. LSU -13.5 (in Atlanta)
Georgia could save us all from the special kind of hillbilly Hell that will be an Alabama- LSU title matchup. That's probably not going to happen, though. The Bulldogs are hot, having won 10 straight against a collection of high-functioning high school teams and Auburn. They'll have an advantage playing an effective home game, but let's not go giving the Dogs a bone quite yet. LSU is a powerhouse, the 2nd ranked defense in the land, with a running game that is making up for a bullshit passing attack. They're not about to start losing now, and Les Miles is going to be a great coach and cover this weekend.
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State -3.5
Bedlam pits the two best passing offenses not run by Case Keenum against each other Saturday in what's almost assured to be the matchup of the weekend. Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon look to get past Ryan Broyles and Landry Jones in a probable shootout. OU has the defensive edge, as the Sooners are a Stoops-led squad giving up the 28th fewest points in the nation this year. But, the Cowboys have faired well against stingy defenses and are still very much in the national title hunt. I'd look for the Cowboys to win, but the Sooners to cover. Hang on for a wild one.
PAC 12
UCLA @ Oregon -31.5
BIG 12
Iowa State @ Kansas State -11.5
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State -3.5
Texas @ Baylor -3.5
SEC
Georgia vs. LSU -13.5 (Atlanta)
WAC
Idaho @ Nevada -20
BYU @ Hawaii -7.5
Utah State -13 @ NMSU
Fresno State @ SDSU -8
MWAC
Wyoming -6 @ Colorado State
UNLV @ TCU -38.5
New Mexico @ Boise State -49
Kyle says...
New Mexico @ Boise State -49
Raise your hand if you thought Boise would be playing this game without a (realistic) shot at the MWC title? Nobody? Right. My first inkling was that the Broncos would come out somewhat flat and fail to cover such a gargantuan line because of some residual sadness. But then I took a look at UNM's average margin of defeat and changed my tune. The moribund Lobos gave it up like Robert E. Lee this year, losing by an average of 49 to the five high-performing offenses it faced this season: Air Force, Arkansas, Texas Tech, TCU and Nevada. Exactly none of those teams can match Kellen Moore and crew for output, as the Broncos put up 43-plus points per game. Look for New Mexico to catch a stomping on the smurf turf as Boise covers.
UCLA @ Oregon -31.5
The Bruins backed into the title game and get the reward of playing an Oregon team that is the class of the PAC 12, even if it isn't as good as everyone thought it would be. There's just no way the Bruins with their 88th ranked passing attack can keep up with the Ducks, whose offensive accomplishments read like a record book at most other schools: 45.9 ppg on the season, average margin of victory of nearly 23 points and 25 touchdowns out of its duo of running backs. Oregon covers in the PAC 12's inaugural title matchup Friday in Eugene.
Georgia vs. LSU -13.5 (in Atlanta)
Georgia could save us all from the special kind of hillbilly Hell that will be an Alabama- LSU title matchup. That's probably not going to happen, though. The Bulldogs are hot, having won 10 straight against a collection of high-functioning high school teams and Auburn. They'll have an advantage playing an effective home game, but let's not go giving the Dogs a bone quite yet. LSU is a powerhouse, the 2nd ranked defense in the land, with a running game that is making up for a bullshit passing attack. They're not about to start losing now, and Les Miles is going to be a great coach and cover this weekend.
Oklahoma @ Oklahoma State -3.5
Bedlam pits the two best passing offenses not run by Case Keenum against each other Saturday in what's almost assured to be the matchup of the weekend. Brandon Weeden and Justin Blackmon look to get past Ryan Broyles and Landry Jones in a probable shootout. OU has the defensive edge, as the Sooners are a Stoops-led squad giving up the 28th fewest points in the nation this year. But, the Cowboys have faired well against stingy defenses and are still very much in the national title hunt. I'd look for the Cowboys to win, but the Sooners to cover. Hang on for a wild one.
Saturday, November 26, 2011
Week 13: The picks are in!
100% of the blog staff had a great time in Downtown Kalamazoo last night. We definitely kept our eye on the games as LSU cemented themselves as the clear #1, Louisville kept pace in the Big East race and Nebraska took out Iowa. We're getting down to the final weeks here, with the blog picks running through Week 14. Wisconsin - Penn State, Auburn - Alabama, Michigan - Ohio State, and Stanford - ND all headline the day. Enjoy some football as you mix in a salad and water to recover from feast week. Let's get to the picks!
Marcus Says...
Michigan -8 vs. Ohio State
Marcus Says...
Northwestern +6 vs. Michigan State
The game means more to Northwestern, but look for Dantonio to have Sparty ready to play. The money is coming on the Wildcats as the line has moved to 6. I'm taking Northwestern and the points, but expect an MSU win.
Michigan -8 vs. Ohio State
The line is up to 8 and the Wolverines will come in confident. Ohio State may have a 'let's win one for coach' attitude, but it won't matter. I'm taking UM to cover.
Wisconsin -14.5 vs. Penn State
The line has eased a little bit to 14.5, but clearly Wiscy is expected to roll here and punch their card for the Big Ten championship. I like the Badgers to win in Madison today, but think that Penn State's defense will keep them in the game. Take PSU and the points.
Virginia +5 vs. Virginia Tech
The battle for the ACC Coastal Division is on in Charlottesville today. While Virginia has been a great story and a win here would certainly go down in school history, I think the Hokie defense will be strout. Tech covers.
Kyle says...
South Carolina -4 vs. Clemson
South Carolina covers.
Stanford -7.5 vs. Notre Dame
Take the Irish and the points.
Kansas +26 vs. Missouri
Mizzou covers.
Auburn +21 vs. Alabama
Bama covers.
Thursday, November 24, 2011
Week 13: FEAST!
Welcome back to Thanksgiving week here at TNG. We hope you're enjoying your day of feast, and once you get done with the NFL matchups, flip on over to ESPN and check out the showdown in the Lone Star State, where Texas and A&M take one another on for little more than pride. Game on!
BIG 12
Texas @ Texas A&M -8
Iowa St. @ Oklahoma -28.5
Missouri -24 @ Kansas
Texas Tech @ Baylor -13
Independent
Notre Dame @ Stanford -7
SEC
Arkansas @ LSU -11.5
Georgia -6 @ Georgia Tech
Tennessee -7.5 @ Kentucky
Vanderbilt -1.5 @ Wake Forest
Alabama -21 @ Auburn
Florida State -2 @ Florida
Ole Miss @ Miss. St. -17
Clemson @ S. Carolina -4
PAC 12
Colorado @ Utah -22
Cal @ Arizona State -6
Oregon State @ Oregon -28
La. Lafayette @ Arizona OFF
Washington State @ Washington -8.5
UCLA @ USC -14.5
MWAC
Wyoming @ Boise St. -32.5
Air Force -16.5 @ Colorado State
SDSU -16 @ UNLV
WAC
Nevada @ Utah State -1.5
New Mexico State @ La. Tech -20.5
SJSU @ Fresno State -6.5
Tulane @ Hawaii -17
Clemson @ S. Carolina -4
Clemson heads to Columbia to take on a South Carolina team trying to prove they're not the most fraudulent team in the top 25. They've been unable to get their running game going in losses to Georgia Tech and NC State, and SC specializes in stopping the run and offenses in general as the 15th ranked defense in the land. For as maligned as this SC team has been, they've won all the games they've needed to, and though they can't pass, the Cocks still have a solid run game, averaging 174.5 yards per game. Look for the Cocks to cover at home.
Arkansas @ LSU -11.5
You know who feels left out of the whole Alabama-LSU debate? The third-ranked Hogs. They'll be gunning for the Tigers and looking to make a statement this weekend in the Bayou. After a 38-14 shellacking at the hands of 'Bama, Arkansas is averaging 39.5 ppg in 7 wins, including three ranked opponents. LSU's record doesn't need to be rehashed. The No. 2 defense in the land is giving up 10 ppg and scoring 38. I'm thinking the Tigers win, again, but Arkansas comes out gunning and covers.
Notre Dame @ Stanford -7
This is the Super Bowl for the Irish, their chance to go 9-3 and qualify for a worthwhile bowl and 8-4, a significant step back in the Kelly era. Stanford squeaked past Cal after a gut-check loss to Oregon, and didn't exactly play like a team still very much in the title hunt. The Irish seem to have more to play for, and I look for them to cover in Palo Alto
Texas @ Texas A&M -8
The Thanksgiving Day matchup in the Lone Star State promises to be oddly competitive. Two high-powered rushing games (UT 15th and A&M 18th in the nation) collide at Kyle Field in a game with no national or conference ramifications. A&M is 0-2 against ranked opponents at home this season, and UT, surprisingly, has only lost one road contest this season. I'd look for the Horns to cover in this one, even if they don't win out. Happy Turkey Day!
BIG 12
Texas @ Texas A&M -8
Iowa St. @ Oklahoma -28.5
Missouri -24 @ Kansas
Texas Tech @ Baylor -13
Independent
Notre Dame @ Stanford -7
SEC
Arkansas @ LSU -11.5
Georgia -6 @ Georgia Tech
Tennessee -7.5 @ Kentucky
Vanderbilt -1.5 @ Wake Forest
Alabama -21 @ Auburn
Florida State -2 @ Florida
Ole Miss @ Miss. St. -17
Clemson @ S. Carolina -4
PAC 12
Colorado @ Utah -22
Cal @ Arizona State -6
Oregon State @ Oregon -28
La. Lafayette @ Arizona OFF
Washington State @ Washington -8.5
UCLA @ USC -14.5
MWAC
Wyoming @ Boise St. -32.5
Air Force -16.5 @ Colorado State
SDSU -16 @ UNLV
WAC
Nevada @ Utah State -1.5
New Mexico State @ La. Tech -20.5
SJSU @ Fresno State -6.5
Tulane @ Hawaii -17
Clemson @ S. Carolina -4
Clemson heads to Columbia to take on a South Carolina team trying to prove they're not the most fraudulent team in the top 25. They've been unable to get their running game going in losses to Georgia Tech and NC State, and SC specializes in stopping the run and offenses in general as the 15th ranked defense in the land. For as maligned as this SC team has been, they've won all the games they've needed to, and though they can't pass, the Cocks still have a solid run game, averaging 174.5 yards per game. Look for the Cocks to cover at home.
Arkansas @ LSU -11.5
You know who feels left out of the whole Alabama-LSU debate? The third-ranked Hogs. They'll be gunning for the Tigers and looking to make a statement this weekend in the Bayou. After a 38-14 shellacking at the hands of 'Bama, Arkansas is averaging 39.5 ppg in 7 wins, including three ranked opponents. LSU's record doesn't need to be rehashed. The No. 2 defense in the land is giving up 10 ppg and scoring 38. I'm thinking the Tigers win, again, but Arkansas comes out gunning and covers.
Notre Dame @ Stanford -7
This is the Super Bowl for the Irish, their chance to go 9-3 and qualify for a worthwhile bowl and 8-4, a significant step back in the Kelly era. Stanford squeaked past Cal after a gut-check loss to Oregon, and didn't exactly play like a team still very much in the title hunt. The Irish seem to have more to play for, and I look for them to cover in Palo Alto
Texas @ Texas A&M -8
The Thanksgiving Day matchup in the Lone Star State promises to be oddly competitive. Two high-powered rushing games (UT 15th and A&M 18th in the nation) collide at Kyle Field in a game with no national or conference ramifications. A&M is 0-2 against ranked opponents at home this season, and UT, surprisingly, has only lost one road contest this season. I'd look for the Horns to cover in this one, even if they don't win out. Happy Turkey Day!
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Week 13: The Thanksgiving edition of Big Ten and ACC previews.
Happy Thanksgiving TNG Nation!
While the NFL takes center stage on Turkey Day, there are some good college football games to look forward to this weekend. The Big Ten Leaders division will be decided in Madison, while the annual Buckeye - Wolverine clash takes place in Ann Arbor. The Virginia Cavaliers are playing for a spot in the ACC title game and Louisville tries to keep pace in the Big East race. Safe travels everyone!
B1G-
Nebraska -9.5 vs. Iowa
Northwestern +7 vs. Michigan State
Michigan -7.5 vs. Ohio State
Indiana +7.5 vs. Purdue
Minnesota +10.5 vs. Illinois
Wisconsin -15 vs. Penn State
ACC-
Miami (FL) -14 vs. Boston College
NC State -13 vs. Maryland
North Carolina -12.5 vs. Duke
Virginia +5 vs. Virginia Tech
Florida +2 vs. Florida State
BIG EAST-
South Florida -3 vs. Louisville
West Virginia -7 vs. Pitt
UConn +3 vs. Rutgers
Syracuse +2.5 vs. Cincinnati
MAC-
Western Michigan -28 vs. Akron
Northern Illinois -19.5 vs. Eastern Michigan
Temple -17 vs. Kent State
Buffalo -2 vs. Bowling Green
Ball State +14 vs. Toledo
SUN BELT-
Western Kentucky -5.5 vs. Troy
MTSU +8.5 vs. FIU
FAU +5 vs. UAB
Marcus says...
Northwestern +7 vs. Michigan State
Sparty has clinched their spot in the Big Ten title game, while Northwestern would like one more win to help their bowl candidacy. Northwestern is riding a 4 game win streak, including their victory over Minnesota last week. MSU clinched the division with a beat down of Indiana, while getting a little help from arch-rival Michigan, who knocked off Nebraska. MSU’s Captain Kirk Cousins is 2 TD passes from standing alone in the Spartan record books and will need to continue his mistake-free play in order for MSU to see Pasadena in January. The game also features the conferences top defense against the second ranked offense. Based on the history of close games, I’m inclined to take the hometeam Wildcats and the points but do expect Sparty to pull out the W.
Michigan -7.5 vs. Ohio State
The game certainly doesn’t mean as much to the country as it once did, but don’t tell that to the folks in Ann Arbor and Columbus. Michigan is playing it’s best football of the season, coming off a dismantling of Nebraska in Ann Arbor last week. The Wolverine defense is currently ranked 6th in the nation coupled with the 12th ranked rushing offense led by QB Denard Robinson. Ohio State’s season has taken a turn in the other direction, losing two straight games against Purdue and last week against Penn State. Luke Fickell can’t feel comfortable with the Urban Meyer rumors flying and with a QB under center that can’t seem to eclipse 100 yards passing. Early feeling is UM covers.
Wisconsin -15 vs. Penn State
This is clearly the game of the week in the B1G with the winner getting a date with Sparty in Indianapolis on December 3. Penn State took care of business against Ohio State last week to keep themselves in position to win the division. The Nittany Lions won despite their inept offense which featured a QB that threw for 88 yard and 1 INT. Luckily, Ohio State had a similarly poor performance from their signal caller. Wisconsin has won 3 straight after stumbling mid-season, including a win at Illinois last week. QB Russell Wilson had a down game, but RB Montee Ball exploded 224 yards and 2 TDs. Wilson may be getting the attention but Ball is having a monster year with 1466 rushing yards and 25 rushing TD. Wisconsin is at home and Penn State will have a hard time stopping the offense. I see a Badger win, but am considering PSU and the points.
Virginia +5 vs. Virginia Tech
The battle for Commonwealth supremacy means something this year given the resurgence of the Virginia Cavaliers. The Cavaliers were 4-8 just a year ago, but with a win against the Hokies would be representing the Coastal division in the ACC title game. The Cavaliers in the BCS? It could happen. Virginia Tech, who is no stranger to being in the hunt for the ACC title and the BCS, will be looking to avoid the upset in Charlottesville. QB Logan Thomas is maturing and is starting to look like the next dual threat Hokie QB. The key to the game will be Virginia’s ability, or lack thereof, to the move the ball against the stout Va Tech defense. Leaning towards Virginia Tech win and cover in this one.
Nebraska -9.5 vs. Iowa
Northwestern +7 vs. Michigan State
Michigan -7.5 vs. Ohio State
Indiana +7.5 vs. Purdue
Minnesota +10.5 vs. Illinois
Wisconsin -15 vs. Penn State
ACC-
Miami (FL) -14 vs. Boston College
NC State -13 vs. Maryland
North Carolina -12.5 vs. Duke
Virginia +5 vs. Virginia Tech
Florida +2 vs. Florida State
BIG EAST-
South Florida -3 vs. Louisville
West Virginia -7 vs. Pitt
UConn +3 vs. Rutgers
Syracuse +2.5 vs. Cincinnati
MAC-
Western Michigan -28 vs. Akron
Northern Illinois -19.5 vs. Eastern Michigan
Temple -17 vs. Kent State
Buffalo -2 vs. Bowling Green
Ball State +14 vs. Toledo
SUN BELT-
Western Kentucky -5.5 vs. Troy
MTSU +8.5 vs. FIU
FAU +5 vs. UAB
Marcus says...
Northwestern +7 vs. Michigan State
Sparty has clinched their spot in the Big Ten title game, while Northwestern would like one more win to help their bowl candidacy. Northwestern is riding a 4 game win streak, including their victory over Minnesota last week. MSU clinched the division with a beat down of Indiana, while getting a little help from arch-rival Michigan, who knocked off Nebraska. MSU’s Captain Kirk Cousins is 2 TD passes from standing alone in the Spartan record books and will need to continue his mistake-free play in order for MSU to see Pasadena in January. The game also features the conferences top defense against the second ranked offense. Based on the history of close games, I’m inclined to take the hometeam Wildcats and the points but do expect Sparty to pull out the W.
Michigan -7.5 vs. Ohio State
The game certainly doesn’t mean as much to the country as it once did, but don’t tell that to the folks in Ann Arbor and Columbus. Michigan is playing it’s best football of the season, coming off a dismantling of Nebraska in Ann Arbor last week. The Wolverine defense is currently ranked 6th in the nation coupled with the 12th ranked rushing offense led by QB Denard Robinson. Ohio State’s season has taken a turn in the other direction, losing two straight games against Purdue and last week against Penn State. Luke Fickell can’t feel comfortable with the Urban Meyer rumors flying and with a QB under center that can’t seem to eclipse 100 yards passing. Early feeling is UM covers.
Wisconsin -15 vs. Penn State
This is clearly the game of the week in the B1G with the winner getting a date with Sparty in Indianapolis on December 3. Penn State took care of business against Ohio State last week to keep themselves in position to win the division. The Nittany Lions won despite their inept offense which featured a QB that threw for 88 yard and 1 INT. Luckily, Ohio State had a similarly poor performance from their signal caller. Wisconsin has won 3 straight after stumbling mid-season, including a win at Illinois last week. QB Russell Wilson had a down game, but RB Montee Ball exploded 224 yards and 2 TDs. Wilson may be getting the attention but Ball is having a monster year with 1466 rushing yards and 25 rushing TD. Wisconsin is at home and Penn State will have a hard time stopping the offense. I see a Badger win, but am considering PSU and the points.
Virginia +5 vs. Virginia Tech
The battle for Commonwealth supremacy means something this year given the resurgence of the Virginia Cavaliers. The Cavaliers were 4-8 just a year ago, but with a win against the Hokies would be representing the Coastal division in the ACC title game. The Cavaliers in the BCS? It could happen. Virginia Tech, who is no stranger to being in the hunt for the ACC title and the BCS, will be looking to avoid the upset in Charlottesville. QB Logan Thomas is maturing and is starting to look like the next dual threat Hokie QB. The key to the game will be Virginia’s ability, or lack thereof, to the move the ball against the stout Va Tech defense. Leaning towards Virginia Tech win and cover in this one.
Saturday, November 19, 2011
Week 12: The picks are in! The picks are in!
Whew.... filing these just in time for kickoff today. Our jaws dropped when Iowa State beat Oklahoma State last night. Just goes to show you, there's no such thing as a truly "safe" bet. Onto the picks...
Michigan State -28 vs. Indiana
Indiana is playing better and there could be an argument here that MSU will look past them. I don’t see D’Anotonio letting that happen and the Spartans have superior talent on both sides of the ball. 28 is a big number however and the only teams Sparty has beaten by that margin are Central Michigan and Florida Atlantic. Take Indiana and the points, but expect MSU to win the game.
Michigan -3.5 vs. Nebraska
The game is big for either team to have a shot at the Big Ten title game. Michigan defense continues to be the story and expect them to keep the Husker running game in check. Michigan wins by 7 and covers.
Ohio State -7 vs. Penn State
OSU is 5-1 at home compared to 1-3 on the road. Braxton Miller has the talent to be the next big Buckeye QB but has been awfully inconsistent. Expect Penn State to be emotionally drained after last week. The Horseshoe will be kind to the Buckeyes and I expect them to pull it out by a FG. Take PSU and the points.
NC State +8 vs. Clemson
Clemson barely got by Wake Forest last week and I imagine Coach Swinney put them through a tough week of practice. QB Tajh Boyd will protect the ball as Clemson seeks to keep pace in the ACC. Clemson covers here.
Kyle says...
Indiana is playing better and there could be an argument here that MSU will look past them. I don’t see D’Anotonio letting that happen and the Spartans have superior talent on both sides of the ball. 28 is a big number however and the only teams Sparty has beaten by that margin are Central Michigan and Florida Atlantic. Take Indiana and the points, but expect MSU to win the game.
Michigan -3.5 vs. Nebraska
The game is big for either team to have a shot at the Big Ten title game. Michigan defense continues to be the story and expect them to keep the Husker running game in check. Michigan wins by 7 and covers.
Ohio State -7 vs. Penn State
OSU is 5-1 at home compared to 1-3 on the road. Braxton Miller has the talent to be the next big Buckeye QB but has been awfully inconsistent. Expect Penn State to be emotionally drained after last week. The Horseshoe will be kind to the Buckeyes and I expect them to pull it out by a FG. Take PSU and the points.
NC State +8 vs. Clemson
Clemson barely got by Wake Forest last week and I imagine Coach Swinney put them through a tough week of practice. QB Tajh Boyd will protect the ball as Clemson seeks to keep pace in the ACC. Clemson covers here.
Kyle says...
Oklahoma -16 @ Baylor
OU brings their high-flying offense into Waco to face Baylor's offensive attack—led by RGIII. I look for Baylor to beat the spread in a loss and I don't expect we'll see a hell of a lot of the punter today. Also, take the over.
USC @ Oregon -15
Oregon's title chances rocketed up when the Cowboys dropped last night at Iowa State. You'd better believe Chip Kelly is going to want to pad his margin of victory as he lobbies for a rematch with LSU, and nobody is going to call you a dick for doing it against Lane Kiffin's crew. Look for Oregon to cover big in Eugene tonight.
Kansas State @ Texas -7.5
This line tightened by two points over the course of the week as people are losing faith in Texas' ability to win, especially within the rather quiet confines of Royal Stadium. Still, I think the shift benefits the horns, who, if nothing else, have a running game that will gash the Wildcats. UT covers.
Cal @ Stanford -18
After dropping a heartbreaking loss to Oregon, ruining the Cardinal's title hopes, Cal comes to the South Bay today. That's unfortunate for the Bears, who are struggling on offense this season and won't be able to keep up with the Stanford attack. Cardinal cover.
Season Standings:
Kyle - 22-20-2
Marcus - 21-22-1
Season Standings:
Kyle - 22-20-2
Marcus - 21-22-1
Wednesday, November 16, 2011
Week 12: A look at the B1G and ACC Pressure Cooker
Hope you have been enjoying your weeknight MAC games again this week TNG nation! This week we watch the B1G and ACC division races wind down with only 1 week to go after this. Sparty needs to avoid a let down and there's a big game in Ann Arbor. Let's get to it...
B1G-
Michigan State -28 vs. Indiana
Northwestern -15.5 vs. Minnesota
Michigan -3.5 vs. Nebraska
Illinois +14.5 vs. Wisconsin
Purdue +3 vs. Iowa
Ohio State -7 vs. Penn State
ACC-
Virginia Tech -11 vs. North Carolina
Duke +11 vs. Georgia Tech
Wake Forest -10.5 vs. Maryland
South Florida +1 vs. Miami (FL)
NC State +8 vs. Clemson
Florida State -17.5 vs. Virginia
BIG EAST-
UConn -1 vs. Louisville
Rutgers +3 vs. Cincinnati
MAC-
Miami (OH) +1.5 vs. Western Michigan
Bowling Green +7 vs. Ohio
Central Michigan +14 vs. Toledo
Buffalo -11.5 vs. Akron
Temple -14 vs. Army
Kent State -3 vs. Eastern Michigan
SUN BELT-
MTSU OFF vs. Arkansas State
Troy OFF vs. FAU
LA-Monroe OFF vs. FIU
North Texas OFF vs. Western Kentucky
Marcus says...
Michigan State -28 vs. Indiana
Sparty avenged their 2010 demons and then some on Saturday in Iowa City, dominating the Hawkeyes for a convincing win. MSU still controls their own destiny in the Big Ten Legends Division. With a win over the Hoosiers and a Wolverine win over Nebraska, Michigan State will secure the division. A Husker win along with a Spartan win, will require MSU to win at Northwestern to finish the season. Kirk Cousins was on top of his game with 260 yds/3 TDs and Le’Veon Bell went for over 100 yards rushing and a score. The defense turned the Hawkeyes over 3 times and his currently ranked 8th in the country, only giving up 16.5 points per contest. Freshmen QB Tre Roberson has taken over for IU, who is 0-6 in Big Ten play. Expect a Sparty win, but consider taking the Hoosiers at the points.
Michigan -3.5 vs. Nebraska
Nebraska won in State College last week, in what had to be one of the weirdest scenes in college football history. Martinez and Burkhead got loose on the ground and pulled the win 17-14. UM knocked off Illinois as RB Fitzgerald Toussaint broke out with 192 yards and a TD. Wolverine Nation got to see sophomore Devin Gardner take some meaningful snaps when Denard Robinson went down with a mild injury. The sophomore played well and I’d expect to see him get on the field against Nebraska considering Robinson’s inability to consistently pass the ball. Coach Brady Hoke has to be happy with his top 5 defense and I expect them to control the Husker offense. Nebraska is a different team on the road and Michigan is better than Penn State. UM covers.
Ohio State -7 vs. Penn State
The first road trip in the post-Paterno era is bound for Columbus and the Horseshoe. The Nittany Lions largely handled the emotions of last week well, but came up short in the end dropping their first Big Ten game. Things don’t get easier with a date with the Buckeyes followed by a trip to Wisconsin to finish out the season. PSU is still in control of the Big Ten Leaders division, but the sentiment is that the Badgers will be in the title game. Ohio State has been difficult to figure out as they lost in OT in West Lafayette last week. The Buckeye offense’s inability to score has led to their inconsistent season. The good news for OSU is that Penn State can relate to inconsistent offense. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a OSU win here, but I like PSU and the points.
NC State +8 vs. Clemson
The 7th ranked Tigers bounced back from their only loss of the season, with a narrow win over Wake Forest. The win locked up the ACC Atlantic Division for the Tigers who still have their sights set on a BCS payday. QB Tajh Boyd threw for 343 yds/2 TDs, but kept the Deacons in the game with his 2 INTs. NC State lost to lowly Boston College last week and has been a tough team to figure out. In this one though, it won’t matter which Wolfpack team shows up as Clemson will roll.
Michigan State -28 vs. Indiana
Northwestern -15.5 vs. Minnesota
Michigan -3.5 vs. Nebraska
Illinois +14.5 vs. Wisconsin
Purdue +3 vs. Iowa
Ohio State -7 vs. Penn State
ACC-
Virginia Tech -11 vs. North Carolina
Duke +11 vs. Georgia Tech
Wake Forest -10.5 vs. Maryland
South Florida +1 vs. Miami (FL)
NC State +8 vs. Clemson
Florida State -17.5 vs. Virginia
BIG EAST-
UConn -1 vs. Louisville
Rutgers +3 vs. Cincinnati
MAC-
Miami (OH) +1.5 vs. Western Michigan
Bowling Green +7 vs. Ohio
Central Michigan +14 vs. Toledo
Buffalo -11.5 vs. Akron
Temple -14 vs. Army
Kent State -3 vs. Eastern Michigan
SUN BELT-
MTSU OFF vs. Arkansas State
Troy OFF vs. FAU
LA-Monroe OFF vs. FIU
North Texas OFF vs. Western Kentucky
Marcus says...
Michigan State -28 vs. Indiana
Sparty avenged their 2010 demons and then some on Saturday in Iowa City, dominating the Hawkeyes for a convincing win. MSU still controls their own destiny in the Big Ten Legends Division. With a win over the Hoosiers and a Wolverine win over Nebraska, Michigan State will secure the division. A Husker win along with a Spartan win, will require MSU to win at Northwestern to finish the season. Kirk Cousins was on top of his game with 260 yds/3 TDs and Le’Veon Bell went for over 100 yards rushing and a score. The defense turned the Hawkeyes over 3 times and his currently ranked 8th in the country, only giving up 16.5 points per contest. Freshmen QB Tre Roberson has taken over for IU, who is 0-6 in Big Ten play. Expect a Sparty win, but consider taking the Hoosiers at the points.
Michigan -3.5 vs. Nebraska
Nebraska won in State College last week, in what had to be one of the weirdest scenes in college football history. Martinez and Burkhead got loose on the ground and pulled the win 17-14. UM knocked off Illinois as RB Fitzgerald Toussaint broke out with 192 yards and a TD. Wolverine Nation got to see sophomore Devin Gardner take some meaningful snaps when Denard Robinson went down with a mild injury. The sophomore played well and I’d expect to see him get on the field against Nebraska considering Robinson’s inability to consistently pass the ball. Coach Brady Hoke has to be happy with his top 5 defense and I expect them to control the Husker offense. Nebraska is a different team on the road and Michigan is better than Penn State. UM covers.
Ohio State -7 vs. Penn State
The first road trip in the post-Paterno era is bound for Columbus and the Horseshoe. The Nittany Lions largely handled the emotions of last week well, but came up short in the end dropping their first Big Ten game. Things don’t get easier with a date with the Buckeyes followed by a trip to Wisconsin to finish out the season. PSU is still in control of the Big Ten Leaders division, but the sentiment is that the Badgers will be in the title game. Ohio State has been difficult to figure out as they lost in OT in West Lafayette last week. The Buckeye offense’s inability to score has led to their inconsistent season. The good news for OSU is that Penn State can relate to inconsistent offense. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a OSU win here, but I like PSU and the points.
NC State +8 vs. Clemson
The 7th ranked Tigers bounced back from their only loss of the season, with a narrow win over Wake Forest. The win locked up the ACC Atlantic Division for the Tigers who still have their sights set on a BCS payday. QB Tajh Boyd threw for 343 yds/2 TDs, but kept the Deacons in the game with his 2 INTs. NC State lost to lowly Boston College last week and has been a tough team to figure out. In this one though, it won’t matter which Wolfpack team shows up as Clemson will roll.
Tuesday, November 15, 2011
Week 12: Pressure cooker
Welcome to week 12, where we're just coming to terms with the fact that the season is winding down. That doesn't mean the action is, though, on the field or at the book. Sure, the SEC is playing the poor sisters of the blind this week, but there are some hot matchups in the Big 12 and out west. A handful of teams—Oklahoma State, Oklahoma and Oregon— are going to be pressing for big win margins to impress the voters and BCS computers as we come down to the wire in the national championship hunt. We'll see who can handle the pressure, and who struggles with it this week. Onto the picks...
Kyle says...
BIG 12
OSU -27 @ Iowa St.K-State @ Texas -9.5
Kansas @ Texas A&M -31
Texas Tech @ Mizzou -18
Oklahoma -15 @ Baylor
PAC 12
Washington -3 @ OSU
Utah @ Wash. St. -3.5
Colorado @ UCLA -11
USC @ Oregon -15
Arizona @ ASU -10.5
Cal @ Stanford -18.5
SEC
Citadel @ South Carolina OFF
Kentucky @ Georgia -30.5
Samford @ Auburn OFF
Furman @ Florida OFF
Georgia Southern @ Alabama OFF
Mississippi State @ Arkansas -13.5
LSU -29.5 @ Ole Miss
Vanderbilt -1.5 @ Tennessee
MWAC
New Mexico @ Wyoming -24
Colorado State @ TCU -33
UNLV @ Air Force -23.5
Boise State -18 @ SDSU
WAC
Navy -4.5 @ SJSU
LT @ Nevada -7.5
Utah St. -10 @ Idaho
NMSU @ BYU -23
Fresno State @ Hawaii -5.5
Kansas State @ Texas -9.5
KSU comes to Austin as both programs struggle to figure out where they go from here. The Wildcats can score at will and came strong in the second half last week against the Aggies, but the defense is low-grade dog shit, giving up 30 ppg and more to competent offenses. Texas, though, is far from a consistently competent offense, putting up a meager 5 points against Mizzou after averaging more than 45 in its two previous games. The Horns have great ability on defense and a strong running game, however, they don't have the passing prowess to really put it on KSU. The Wildcats cover in a Texas victory.
Oklahoma -15 @ Baylor
In the two games between last week's bye and the loss to Texas Tech, Oklahoma came out like Wisconsin circa 2010, blowing out KSU and A&M by a combined score of 99-42. The Sooners are out for blood, and they know their chances at a title shot only get better if they annihilate the opposition. Landry Jones is leading the nation's third-ranked passing attack against a defense that gives up 36 points per game, looking only slightly better at home than on the road. I don't doubt RGIII's ability to keep up with anyone, though, and I'm not sure OU's defense has seen someone quite like him yet. I think Baylor covers in a shootout loss at home. Look for fireworks.
USC @ Oregon -15
USC's got no problem scoring points, but the thing keeping them from balling with the PAC 12's big boys isn't Matt Barkley and the offense, though. The Trojan defense breaks (hahaha!) against quarterbacks who are A) big and ballsy enough to be able to look far downfield and B) good. Darron Thomas is both of these things, and is aided by the most talented running game not found in Tuscaloosa. While he may not always make the best decisions, Thomas gets plenty
of pass protection and can elude the rush, and big game QBs can work wonders when given time in the pocket. Oregon's very solid defense will corral the USC offensive attack and the offense will blow right past them as the Ducks cover in Eugene.
Vanderbilt -1.5 vs. Tennessee
In a game of brain vs. brawn, I'm leaning toward the brains of Vanderbilt. Playing for bowl eligibility, Vandy has a tough, top-30 defense and a scrappy offense. The D should be more than enough to contain Tennessee, who can't seem to muster a rushing attack no matter who is at QB. Phenom Tyler Bray is set to return this weekend, though he's expected to split time and he's not the kind of guy who can tote it for 100 yards in addition to chucking it around. I look for a tight one in Knoxville, with Vandy's hard-nosed, smart brand of football winning out and the Commodores covering.
Friday, November 11, 2011
Week 11: The picks are in! The Picks are in!
Week 11 Saturday is upon us and we're feeling good at TNG. Palo Alto is the place to be and a certain member of our two white crew will be in the area to catch the excitement that will be Stanford-Oregon. The country will also be paying attention to State College, where one of the more tragic off the field stories continues to unfold. Let's get to the picks...
Marcus says...
Iowa +3 vs. Michigan State
The line hasn’t moved and the game is being overshadowed in the Big Ten by the mess in not-so Happy Valley, but this is clearly the biggest football game in the Big Ten this weekend. As we mentioned earlier this week, Sparty is seeking revenge after being embarrassed last year in Iowa City. The Hawkeyes are tough to beat at home, but I see a good D’Antonio gameplan executed and a cover for MSU.
Penn State +3 vs. Nebraska
The Nittany Lions are underdogs are home, but expect a spirited crowd on Saturday. Former players, the community, and the student body are all rallying around the beloved coach Joe Paterno, who was dismissed earlier this week for his poor judgement in the handling of the disgusting Jerry Sandusky situation. On the field, Nebraska has the better talent but I see a spirited Penn State team taking the field. I’m taking PSU and the points.
Cincinnati -3.5 vs. West Virginia
West Virginia heads to the ‘Nati Saturday as it’s the Bearcats that are now the lone ranked Big East team eyeing the BCS bid. Cincinnati has comeback to win their last 3 league games, including a tough win on the road at Pitt last week. West Virginia’s defense has let their prolific offense down in their two league losses and face another tough test against Collaros and Cincy offense. I expect the Bearcats to come in a little overconfident and to come up short against Geno Smith and the Mountaineers. Take WVU and the points.
Clemson -17 vs. Wake Forest
Clemson welcomes the Demon Deacons into Memorial Stadium Saturday coming off their first loss of the season at Georgia Tech. Wake has lost two straight, including a tough loss against Notre Dame last week. Expect the Tiger offense to get back on track and protect the football unlike last week where they turned it over 4 times. Wake is giving up 28 points a game on average and expect Clemson to hang 45 and cover the spread.
Kyle says...
The line hasn’t moved and the game is being overshadowed in the Big Ten by the mess in not-so Happy Valley, but this is clearly the biggest football game in the Big Ten this weekend. As we mentioned earlier this week, Sparty is seeking revenge after being embarrassed last year in Iowa City. The Hawkeyes are tough to beat at home, but I see a good D’Antonio gameplan executed and a cover for MSU.
Penn State +3 vs. Nebraska
The Nittany Lions are underdogs are home, but expect a spirited crowd on Saturday. Former players, the community, and the student body are all rallying around the beloved coach Joe Paterno, who was dismissed earlier this week for his poor judgement in the handling of the disgusting Jerry Sandusky situation. On the field, Nebraska has the better talent but I see a spirited Penn State team taking the field. I’m taking PSU and the points.
Cincinnati -3.5 vs. West Virginia
West Virginia heads to the ‘Nati Saturday as it’s the Bearcats that are now the lone ranked Big East team eyeing the BCS bid. Cincinnati has comeback to win their last 3 league games, including a tough win on the road at Pitt last week. West Virginia’s defense has let their prolific offense down in their two league losses and face another tough test against Collaros and Cincy offense. I expect the Bearcats to come in a little overconfident and to come up short against Geno Smith and the Mountaineers. Take WVU and the points.
Clemson -17 vs. Wake Forest
Clemson welcomes the Demon Deacons into Memorial Stadium Saturday coming off their first loss of the season at Georgia Tech. Wake has lost two straight, including a tough loss against Notre Dame last week. Expect the Tiger offense to get back on track and protect the football unlike last week where they turned it over 4 times. Wake is giving up 28 points a game on average and expect Clemson to hang 45 and cover the spread.
Kyle says...
Oregon @ Stanford -3.5
Gameday is going to be in Palo Alto for the first time ever, and the scene is guaranteed to be electric in the South Bay. The Ducks are coming on strong and LaMichael James is getting back into Heisman finalist shape. The Cardinal are banged up on both sides of the ball, and I’m afraid home field advantage isn’t going to overcome the talent disparity in healthy players. Oregon wins and beats the spread.
Oklahoma State -18.5 @ Texas Tech
This line has grown legs over the week, jumping up from 17 to 18.5, and the book at the Lake Tahoe Hyatt thinks it may grow a little further by gametime. Look, there’s nothing more that needs to be said about OSU. The Cowboys are a force. But an 18.5 pt force? They are averaging a victory margin of 19.6 ppg in the conference, and with the defense in Lubbock still trying to find the field, I’d say your money’s safe with the Cowboys covering.
Auburn @ Georgia -12
This might be the least entertaining ranked-on-ranked battle this week. Auburn can’t find its passing game (bottom 30 in the nation), and while Georgia has a shutdown defense, its offense rarely does it pretty. Auburn is good enough in the running game (top 30 in the nation) and on the defensive side of the ball that they cover in a loss in an ugly showdown in Athens.
TCU @ Boise St. -15.5
This isn’t the TCU defense that shut Kellen Moore out of the end zone in the past. Ranked 34th in points for, they aren’t bad, but you have to do a lot better than that to slow the Broncos’ 7th ranked offense on the Smurf Turf. TCU doesn’t have the passing game they did last year with Andy Dalton, and subsequently just will not be able to keep up with an offense scoring 44 points per game. Boise covers.
Season Standings:
Kyle - 20-18-2
Marcus - 19-21-0
Gameday is going to be in Palo Alto for the first time ever, and the scene is guaranteed to be electric in the South Bay. The Ducks are coming on strong and LaMichael James is getting back into Heisman finalist shape. The Cardinal are banged up on both sides of the ball, and I’m afraid home field advantage isn’t going to overcome the talent disparity in healthy players. Oregon wins and beats the spread.
Oklahoma State -18.5 @ Texas Tech
This line has grown legs over the week, jumping up from 17 to 18.5, and the book at the Lake Tahoe Hyatt thinks it may grow a little further by gametime. Look, there’s nothing more that needs to be said about OSU. The Cowboys are a force. But an 18.5 pt force? They are averaging a victory margin of 19.6 ppg in the conference, and with the defense in Lubbock still trying to find the field, I’d say your money’s safe with the Cowboys covering.
Auburn @ Georgia -12
This might be the least entertaining ranked-on-ranked battle this week. Auburn can’t find its passing game (bottom 30 in the nation), and while Georgia has a shutdown defense, its offense rarely does it pretty. Auburn is good enough in the running game (top 30 in the nation) and on the defensive side of the ball that they cover in a loss in an ugly showdown in Athens.
TCU @ Boise St. -15.5
This isn’t the TCU defense that shut Kellen Moore out of the end zone in the past. Ranked 34th in points for, they aren’t bad, but you have to do a lot better than that to slow the Broncos’ 7th ranked offense on the Smurf Turf. TCU doesn’t have the passing game they did last year with Andy Dalton, and subsequently just will not be able to keep up with an offense scoring 44 points per game. Boise covers.
Season Standings:
Kyle - 20-18-2
Marcus - 19-21-0
Tuesday, November 8, 2011
Week 11: Ok, ok we'll preview a Big East game, MSU has new life and the MAC is playing all week.
The 'eliminator' that is Week 11 is upon us and the MAC takes their act to prime time. Well on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday night that is. I have fond memories of a "Tuesday Night Tussle" on ESPN8 at Waldo Stadium a few years ago. Too bad the rest of the country couldn't care less about MAC football. Clearly the MAC games are not what we're focusing on as MSU nows has new life in the B1G Legends division and all eyes are on Penn State for all the wrong reasons as their first place football team takes on the Huskers. We even preview a Big East game this week. Let's get to it...
B1G-
Iowa +3 vs. Michigan State
Northwestern -17 vs. Rice
Penn State +3.5 vs. Nebraska
Purdue +7.5 vs. Ohio State
Minnesota +27.5 vs. Wisconsin
Illinois +1 vs. Michigan
ACC-
Georgia Tech -1 vs. Virginia Tech
Clemson -17 vs. Wake Forest
Boston College +3 vs. NC State
Virginia -10 vs. Duke
Florida State -9 vs. Miami (FL)
BIG EAST-
Syracuse +3.5 vs. South Florida
Louisville -3 vs. Pitt
Cincinnati -3.5 vs. West Virginia
MAC-
Toledo -12.5 vs. Western Michigan
Bowling Green +6 vs. Northern Illinois
Temple -13 vs. Miami (OH)
Central Michigan +7 vs. Ohio
Eastern Michigan -3 vs. Buffalo
Akron +6 vs. Kent State
SUN BELT-
Troy OFF vs. North Texas
Arkansas St OFF vs. LA-Lafayette
LA-Monroe OFF vs. Middle Tennessee State
FIU OFF vs. FAU
Marcus says...
Iowa +3 vs. Michigan State
Christmas came early for Sparty last week as Iowa knocked off Michigan while Northwestern shocked the Huskers leaving MSU alone in 1st place in the B1G Legends division. The Spartans control their own destiny for a spot in the inaugural B1G title game and the home stretch starts with the Hawkeyes. Sophomore RB Marcus Coker leads the Iowa offense and has been terrorizing defenses with 8 TDs in his last 4 games. Junior QB James Vandenberg has been a tremendous game manager, even showing signs of play making ability at times. As for MSU, the defense will come to play it just depends on which offense shows up. If the offense that showed up in Iowa City in 2010 comes to play, expect the worst. MSU came in undefeated and lost 37-6. Early feeling is that D’Antonio won’t let that happen 2 years in a row and Sparty gets it done.
Penn State +3.5 vs. Nebraska
It’s difficult to avoid the reprehensible stories of abuse, perjury, and inhumane actions coming out of State College, PA these days. The Nittany Lion football team certainly didn’t have anything to do with how the grown men in the administration acted but they will ulitmately have to overcome the colossal distraction. They are facing a Husker that was shocked at home against Northwestern last week. QB Taylor Martinez had one of his best games of the year through the air, but was contained on the ground along with RB Rex Burkhead. QBs Dan Persa and Kain Colter were able to take apart the Nebraska defense en route to the win. I expect to see a distracted Penn State team run into an angry Nebraska team looking to rebound.
Georgia Tech -1 vs. Virginia Tech
The Georgia Tech team that was once seen as a contender showed up last week to bring Clemson back down to reality. QB Tevin Washington got it done on the ground rushing for 176 yards and 1 score with RB Orwin Smith getting into the end zone twice for the ‘Jackets. The Georgia Tech defense forced Clemson QB Boyd into 2 INTs and really kept the Tiger offense in check. Virginia Tech is 1 game ahead of Georgia Tech in ACC Coastal standing and would like that cushion to be 2 games. The Hokies won a defensive battle against Duke last week. In what Vegas sees as a Pick ‘Em game in the ATL Thursday night I see the Yellow Jackets utilizing the home field advantage and getting it done.
Cincinnati -3.5 vs. West Virginia
The ‘Nati has taken over the distinct honor of the only ranked team out of the Big Least after winning back to back road games over teams we used to write about: South Florida and Pittsburgh. Senior QB Zach Collaros has 22 total TDs this season and is bonafied dual threat. The defense has been uncharacteristically stout giving up only 19.5 points per game, good for 18th in the country. West Virginia had BCS in their sights until dropping a game against Louisville last week giving them 2 losses in their last 3 games. QB Geno Smith is the real deal, but the Mountaineers may have dug too big of a hole for themselves to get into the BCS. Despite that, West Virginia is the better team and gut feeling is they get the Bearcats on the road.
B1G-
Iowa +3 vs. Michigan State
Northwestern -17 vs. Rice
Penn State +3.5 vs. Nebraska
Purdue +7.5 vs. Ohio State
Minnesota +27.5 vs. Wisconsin
Illinois +1 vs. Michigan
ACC-
Georgia Tech -1 vs. Virginia Tech
Clemson -17 vs. Wake Forest
Boston College +3 vs. NC State
Virginia -10 vs. Duke
Florida State -9 vs. Miami (FL)
BIG EAST-
Syracuse +3.5 vs. South Florida
Louisville -3 vs. Pitt
Cincinnati -3.5 vs. West Virginia
MAC-
Toledo -12.5 vs. Western Michigan
Bowling Green +6 vs. Northern Illinois
Temple -13 vs. Miami (OH)
Central Michigan +7 vs. Ohio
Eastern Michigan -3 vs. Buffalo
Akron +6 vs. Kent State
SUN BELT-
Troy OFF vs. North Texas
Arkansas St OFF vs. LA-Lafayette
LA-Monroe OFF vs. Middle Tennessee State
FIU OFF vs. FAU
Marcus says...
Iowa +3 vs. Michigan State
Christmas came early for Sparty last week as Iowa knocked off Michigan while Northwestern shocked the Huskers leaving MSU alone in 1st place in the B1G Legends division. The Spartans control their own destiny for a spot in the inaugural B1G title game and the home stretch starts with the Hawkeyes. Sophomore RB Marcus Coker leads the Iowa offense and has been terrorizing defenses with 8 TDs in his last 4 games. Junior QB James Vandenberg has been a tremendous game manager, even showing signs of play making ability at times. As for MSU, the defense will come to play it just depends on which offense shows up. If the offense that showed up in Iowa City in 2010 comes to play, expect the worst. MSU came in undefeated and lost 37-6. Early feeling is that D’Antonio won’t let that happen 2 years in a row and Sparty gets it done.
Penn State +3.5 vs. Nebraska
It’s difficult to avoid the reprehensible stories of abuse, perjury, and inhumane actions coming out of State College, PA these days. The Nittany Lion football team certainly didn’t have anything to do with how the grown men in the administration acted but they will ulitmately have to overcome the colossal distraction. They are facing a Husker that was shocked at home against Northwestern last week. QB Taylor Martinez had one of his best games of the year through the air, but was contained on the ground along with RB Rex Burkhead. QBs Dan Persa and Kain Colter were able to take apart the Nebraska defense en route to the win. I expect to see a distracted Penn State team run into an angry Nebraska team looking to rebound.
Georgia Tech -1 vs. Virginia Tech
The Georgia Tech team that was once seen as a contender showed up last week to bring Clemson back down to reality. QB Tevin Washington got it done on the ground rushing for 176 yards and 1 score with RB Orwin Smith getting into the end zone twice for the ‘Jackets. The Georgia Tech defense forced Clemson QB Boyd into 2 INTs and really kept the Tiger offense in check. Virginia Tech is 1 game ahead of Georgia Tech in ACC Coastal standing and would like that cushion to be 2 games. The Hokies won a defensive battle against Duke last week. In what Vegas sees as a Pick ‘Em game in the ATL Thursday night I see the Yellow Jackets utilizing the home field advantage and getting it done.
Cincinnati -3.5 vs. West Virginia
The ‘Nati has taken over the distinct honor of the only ranked team out of the Big Least after winning back to back road games over teams we used to write about: South Florida and Pittsburgh. Senior QB Zach Collaros has 22 total TDs this season and is bonafied dual threat. The defense has been uncharacteristically stout giving up only 19.5 points per game, good for 18th in the country. West Virginia had BCS in their sights until dropping a game against Louisville last week giving them 2 losses in their last 3 games. QB Geno Smith is the real deal, but the Mountaineers may have dug too big of a hole for themselves to get into the BCS. Despite that, West Virginia is the better team and gut feeling is they get the Bearcats on the road.
Monday, November 7, 2011
Week 11: Who does No. 2 work for?
Welcome to college football's 11th week, which we'll nickname "the eliminator."
Oklahoma State took its place at No. 2 in the nation after Alabama fell to LSU Saturday. But, the Tide dropped to just third, meaning they'll be standing ready to cut back into the title picture. What will the pressure mean for OSU? Don't forget the best coast, which will host a HUGE matchup Saturday in the South Bay when Oregon visits undefeated Stanford. Let's get to the picks...
BIG 12
Texas -1 @ Missouri
Oklahoma State -17 @ Texas Tech
Baylor -20 @ Kansas
Texas A&M -4.5 @ Kansas State
PAC 12
Arizona -11 @ Colorado
Washington @ USC -12.5
Oklahoma State took its place at No. 2 in the nation after Alabama fell to LSU Saturday. But, the Tide dropped to just third, meaning they'll be standing ready to cut back into the title picture. What will the pressure mean for OSU? Don't forget the best coast, which will host a HUGE matchup Saturday in the South Bay when Oregon visits undefeated Stanford. Let's get to the picks...
BIG 12
Texas -1 @ Missouri
Oklahoma State -17 @ Texas Tech
Baylor -20 @ Kansas
Texas A&M -4.5 @ Kansas State
PAC 12
Arizona -11 @ Colorado
Washington @ USC -12.5
Oregon State @ Cal -9.5
UCLA @ Utah -7
Oregon @ Stanford -4
Arizona State -13 @ Washington State
WAC
San Jose State @ Utah State OFF
Louisiana Tech -2.5 @ Ole Miss
Fresno State @ New Mexico State OFF
Idaho @ BYU -21
Hawaii @ Nevada -13
MWAC
Wyoming @ Air Force -14
TCU @ Boise State -15
SDSU -13.5 @ Colorado State
UNLV @ New Mexico
UCLA @ Utah -7
Oregon @ Stanford -4
Arizona State -13 @ Washington State
WAC
San Jose State @ Utah State OFF
Louisiana Tech -2.5 @ Ole Miss
Fresno State @ New Mexico State OFF
Idaho @ BYU -21
Hawaii @ Nevada -13
MWAC
Wyoming @ Air Force -14
TCU @ Boise State -15
SDSU -13.5 @ Colorado State
UNLV @ New Mexico
TCU @ Boise State -15
TCU may be riding high after four straight victories, but the Horned Frogs had better check their egos at the door when they head to the smurf turf. Against the two good QBs they've seen this year— SMU's Kyle Padron and Baylor's RGIII— the Horned Frogs gave up an average of 45 points. Even for a team that scores 41.6 points per game, that's not sustainable. Boise's Kellen Moore is easily the class of that group and will look downfield early and often against TCU. With a solid defense giving up just more than 12 points per game, look for Boise to force a lot of turnovers or incomplete passes from TCU as it will benefit from solid field position and plenty of time to rest as the Broncos' well balanced offense plays keep away. The Broncos cover and continue to piss in the BCS's oatmeal.
Oregon @ Stanford -4
The best matchup of the weekend features a conference's two best teams with national title implications on the line... stop me if you've heard this before. Unlike their counterparts in the SEC, however, Oregon's visit to Palo Alto will actually be worth watching. The boys from Silicon Valley haven't quite played the Ducks' schedule, but they've done nothing but win with a great run game taking pressure off Andrew Luck, allowing him to look downfield. He's ruthless there — his top two receivers are averaging more than 17 yards per catch — all while Stepfan Taylor and Tyler Gaffney control the line of scrimmage with more than 6 yards per carry. Oregon's rushing attack is even more impressive — the Ducks are fifth in the nation in total rushing at close to 300 yards per game. Oregon's had some problems against good pass defenses, though, and that's a strength for the Cardinal. If Stanford can corral Darron Thomas, they might be able to force Chip Kelly to overwork his running backs and tire them by the fourth quarter. On the flipside, those same backs could skew time of possession considerably in Oregon's favor, keeping the ball out of Andrew Luck's magic hands. I think Oregon beats the spread in a Stanford victory.
Washington @ USC -12.5
SC looks like a serious contender in gestation. Unfortunately, we know with oncoming scholly reductions, this pregnancy doesn't end well. That's why SC is getting its shots in now, when it can play a VERY competent role as spoiler. Washington, on the other hand, is a mystery. All the ingredients are there for a great offense, but Keith Price looked very human last week, throwing two interceptions, and the running game led by Chris Polk was nonexistent for the Huskies, who managed just 82 yards in a loss against Oregon. The defense in Seattle is rotten, and Matt Barkley should walk all over them. I like SC to cover at home.
Oklahoma State -17 @ Texas Tech
Last week in a squeaker of a victory over Kansas State, the Cowboys defense was terrible in third and fourth down situations, and gave up about 500 yards of total offense. Contrast that with the 502 passing yards 'Boys QB Brandon Weeden threw by himself, however, and the picture looks a little better. After beating Oklahoma two weeks ago, the Red Raiders have looked awful, as the 104th defense in the land continues to give up shitloads of points (46.5 per game after the win) and the once-feared offense cannot score. This is exactly what got Tommy Tuberville fired at Auburn — the man falls apart in the second half of the season. The Raiders continue to be shellshocked and OSU's defense comes back to try to prove its status as a title contender, while the offense continues as the best in college football. The Cowboys cover, and continue their march to Bedlam on Dec. 3.
Friday, November 4, 2011
Week 10: The picks are in! The picks are in!
It's Week 10, and we're sadly starting to see the end of college football's regular season in the distance. That only means the games are taking on more importance, and maybe none are more important than the tussle in Tuscaloosa tomorrow. Let's get to the picks...
Marcus says...
Michigan State -28 vs. Minnesota
Take Minnesota and the points.
South Carolina @ Arkansas -5.5
The Gamecocks take their disjointed attack into Fayetteville this week against an Arkansas squad that alternates between sleepwalking and dropkicking opposing defenses. I think Arkansas has problems against SC's front line, though. The Gamecocks beat the spread.
Season standings
Kyle- 19-15-2
Marcus- 17-19-0
Marcus says...
Michigan State -28 vs. Minnesota
Take Minnesota and the points.
Nebraska -17.5 vs. Northwestern
Take Nebraska and the points.
N.C. State +3.5 vs. North Carolina
Take UNC & the points.
West Virginia -13 vs. Louisville
Take Louisville & the points.
Kyle says...
Alabama -5 vs. LSU
Again, do yourself and favor and don't bet this game. The line is being made with all the attention paid to a Super Bowl, so Vegas isn't going to f--- this up too badly. If you have to bet it, though, take LSU & the points. Saban might win, but my gut tells me that with these two defenses it's going to be a grind-it-out affair.
Oregon -16.5 @ Washington
The Ducks bring their offensegasm into Seattle, where the minds at U-Dub have cooked up an offensive fireworks show of their own. Chris Polk is a dynamo and is buying Huskies QB Keith Price all sorts of time in the pocket. With LaMichael James back, bet on the ducks to pour on the points. Washington covers but loses in a shootout. Also, take the over.
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State -21.5
Kansas State had their asses handed to them last week by Ryan Broyles, and you know Justin Blackmon wants to do the same. OSU takes the playbook the Sooners handed them and destroys KSU this weekend. OSU covers.
Take Nebraska and the points.
N.C. State +3.5 vs. North Carolina
Take UNC & the points.
West Virginia -13 vs. Louisville
Take Louisville & the points.
Kyle says...
Alabama -5 vs. LSU
Again, do yourself and favor and don't bet this game. The line is being made with all the attention paid to a Super Bowl, so Vegas isn't going to f--- this up too badly. If you have to bet it, though, take LSU & the points. Saban might win, but my gut tells me that with these two defenses it's going to be a grind-it-out affair.
Oregon -16.5 @ Washington
The Ducks bring their offensegasm into Seattle, where the minds at U-Dub have cooked up an offensive fireworks show of their own. Chris Polk is a dynamo and is buying Huskies QB Keith Price all sorts of time in the pocket. With LaMichael James back, bet on the ducks to pour on the points. Washington covers but loses in a shootout. Also, take the over.
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State -21.5
Kansas State had their asses handed to them last week by Ryan Broyles, and you know Justin Blackmon wants to do the same. OSU takes the playbook the Sooners handed them and destroys KSU this weekend. OSU covers.
South Carolina @ Arkansas -5.5
The Gamecocks take their disjointed attack into Fayetteville this week against an Arkansas squad that alternates between sleepwalking and dropkicking opposing defenses. I think Arkansas has problems against SC's front line, though. The Gamecocks beat the spread.
Season standings
Kyle- 19-15-2
Marcus- 17-19-0
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