Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Week 2 Previews- Is Wisconsin for real? Does anyone care about ND-UM?


WEEK 2 - SEP 8-10

Welcome to Week 2 TNG Nation!  Let’s dive right into the early lines for this week.  The games in bold are ones we are paying attention to and provide a short preview if you keep scrolling.  

B1G-

MSU -32.5 vs. Florida Atlantic
Iowa -6.5 @ Iowa State
Ohio State -19 vs. Toledo
Wisconsin -21 vs. Oregon State
Illinois vs. South Dakota State OFF
Northwestern vs. Eastern Illinois OFF
Minnesota -20 vs. New Mexico State
Penn St vs. Alabama -9.5
Purdue @ Rice OFF
Indiana vs. Virginia -6.5
Nebraska -28 vs. Fresno State

BIG EAST-

Rutgers @ North Carolina -10.5
Pitt vs. Maine OFF
West Virginia Off vs. Norfolk State
Syracuse vs. Rhode Island OFF
South Florida -20 vs. Ball State
Vanderbilt -1 vs. UCONN

MAC-

WMU vs. Nicholls State OFF
CMU @ Kentucky -13
EMU vs. Alabama St OFF
Akron vs. Temple -14.5
Buffalo vs. Stony Brook OFF
Bowling Green vs. Morgan State OFF
Ohio vs. Gardner-Webb OFF
Northern Illinois -6.5 @ Kansas
Kent State -9.5 vs. LA-Lafayette

SUN BELT-

FIU @ Louisville -4
W Kentucky vs Navy -10
North Texas vs Houston -22.5
Arkansas St -14.5 vs. Memphis
Middle Tennessee St vs. Georgia Tech -11
LA-Monroe vs. Grambling State OFF

Marcus says...

Wisconsin -21 vs. Oregon State
Russell Wilson fever has already taken hold in Madison after last weeks debut in the thumping of UNLV.  Wilson was impressive throwing for 2 scores and rushing for another, but let’s remember that it was against the miserable Rebels.  Oregon State will come into Camp Randall trying to avenge their OT loss to FCS Sacramento State.  The Beaver offense has the talent to win games, but the defense will be the question mark here.  If they couldn’t stop the Hornets, how are they going to slow down the Badgers on the road?  Wisconsin covers here.

Penn St vs. Alabama -9.5
Joe Paterno vs. Nick Saban in Happy Valley in Week 2, what more could you ask for?  Alabama is a road favorite here based largely on expectations and somewhat on their Week 1 showing against Kent State.  Sophomore QB AJ McCarron will be facing a stout Nittany Lion defense that dominated lowly Indiana State.  Penn State still needs to make a decision under center between McGloin and Boldin, but I don’t expect that to be an issue in this one.  Expect a hard fought, grind it out game and don’t be surprised to see the Nittany Lions cover in a ‘Bama win.  

Nebraska -28 vs. Fresno State
Taylor Martinez ran all over Chattanooga last week as Nebraska wasn’t tested to open the 2011 campaign.  Fresno State on the other hand put up more of a fight against the Cal Bears than expected in a Week 1 loss.  The impact player here will be DE Cameron Meredith for the Huskers, who is coming off a 2 sack and 1 interception performance.  Expect him to disrupt QB Derek Carr at the Bulldog offense, keeping them off the field and allowing Martinez and the offense to put points on the board.  Early gut feeling is the Huskers cover.
 
Rutgers @ North Carolina -10.5
The Scarlet Knights visit Keenan Stadium in Chapel Hill coming off a 48-0 beat down of NC Central.  Rutgers scored two defensive touchdowns and got solid contributions from three different running backs.  The ‘Heels won their opening game as well, defeating James Madison behind a high powered offense led by QB Bryn Renner.  Expect a lower scoring game and 10.5 seems like a big number, take Rutgers and the points.

South Florida -20 vs. Ball State
Skip Holtz made his parents proud and at the same time ripped the heart out of the Irish faithful last week in a weird game in South Bend.  The Bulls struggled to put the ball in the end zone on offense against Notre Dame, but expect QB B.J. Daniels to get that turned around.  Ball State is riding high after an opening week home win against the Indiana Hoosiers.  Expect the Cardinals to come in confident and maybe even put up some points, but South Florida pulls away and covers in the end.

Northern Illinois -6.5 @ Kansas
Don’t look now, but a MAC school is ranked on the road against a Big 12 opponent.  Another sign of the death of the Big 12?  This game will feature star QB Charlie Harnish, who threw for 5 TDs and ran for another score in the Huskies opening week win against Army.  Kansas used a two-headed rushing attack to top McNeese State, but won’t have an answer for Harnish.  NIU comes into Lawrence and covers.

FIU @ Louisville -4
FIU pounded North Texas in Week 1, behind their plethora of offensive weapons.  WR T.Y. Hilton had 181 total yards on offense.  While RBs, Perry and Rhodes each ran for 2 TDs.  Louisville’s offense looked impressive at times in their opening week win against Murray State.  QB Will Stein threw for 2 scores and the Cardinal defense frustrated talented Murray St QB Casey Brockman.  Expect a good game with Louisville ultimately winning by a TD.  


BIG 12 -

Arizona @Oklahoma St. -14
Mizzou @ Arizona St. -7.5
BYU @ Texas -7

PAC 12 -

Cal -6.5 @ Colo.
Stanford -21.5 @ Duke
Hawaii @ Washington -5
Nevada @ Oregon -27
UNLV @ Washington St. -14
Utah @ USC -9.5
San Jose State @ UCLA -21.5

WAC-

N. Dakota @ Idaho OFF
Central Arkansas @ La. Tech OFF
Weber St. @ Utah St. OFF

MWAC-

SDSU -10 @ Army
N. Colo. @ Colo. St. OFF
TCU -2 @ Air Force
Texas St. @ Wyoming OFF
UNM @ Arkansas -36

Independent-

ND -3.5 @ Michigan

Kyle says...

BYU @ Texas -7
This game is a tough call. BYU was tested last week by a disjointed but talented Ole Miss squad, while Texas rolled somewhat easily on an inferior Rice team. UT will need its young defensive backfield to continue to mesh in order to slow down the Cougars’ passing attack, led by sophomore Jake Heaps. He looked a little rusty against the Rebs, but will get locked in at some point, so Mack Brown had better have his game face on defensively. The key to helping out against Heaps is for the Horns d-line to put a lot of pressure on him, something they did last week after looking less-than-stellar last year.

Mizzou @ Arizona St. -7.5
The Tigers looked anything but dominating last week in a 17-6 win over Miami (OH), and ASU is still dealing with offseason injuries to the second and third levels of its defense. The Sun Devils D, nonetheless, looked stout in a week one win against UC Davis, which should provide a confidence and experience boost going into Friday’s matchup in the desert. The heat should slow down both offenses and keep this one close, but the Sun Devils should cover.

Cal -6.5 @ Colorado
Apparently Vegas doesn’t have a hell of a lot of faith in the Golden Bears and QB Zach Maynard against a Colorado team that can be described charitably as “struggling,” following a pretty embarrassing 34-17 defeat at the hands of Hawaii. The Buffs aren’t on the road, where they are 0 for the last 17, so that must count for something. Cal dropped Fresno St. like a bad habit last week, with Maynard throwing for 266 and two touchdowns in the 36-21 opener. If he can continue to count on the run game as a compliment to his passing game, the Bears could roll on a Buffs D that couldn’t stop anything last week.

Nevada @ Oregon -27
The border war resumes after an 8 year hiatus, and that couldn’t be worse for the Wolf Pack. In their first game post-Kaepernick, UNR gets to trot new QB Tyler Lantrip against what one can only assume will be a very pissed-off group of Oregon Ducks, still smarting from their throttling at the hands of LSU. CB Cliff Harris comes back for Oregon to assure Lantrip doesn’t get too loose with his experienced receiving corps, and LaMichael James will exploit the Pack’s young D-line. Look for the Ducks to cover.

TCU -2 @ Air Force
There’s some buzz around this seasoned Falcons team, and maybe that accounts for the nearly OFF line. They’re experienced and coming off a W last week against S. Dakota in Colorado Springs in which the experienced D looked stout. That’s nice, but TCU is looking for blood after last week’s 50-48 L to Baylor that seemingly everyone in the nation watched. QB Pachall looked like a four-year starter as a signal caller and would have been the talk of the country except for the electric performance put up by RGIII. The last few games at the Academy have been tight between these squads, but look for the Horned Frogs to cover, barely.

Notre Dame -3.5 @ Michigan
Vegas just couldn’t bring itself to not post a line in this game. It makes sense, as both fan bases are national, it’ll draw huge attention as Saturday’s prime time game under the lights in Ann Arbor, and you know the four-letter will hype it all week long. That said, neither team is deserving of favored status here. Notre Dame dominated South Florida until it counted last week, when they failed miserably in the red zone in an agonizing defeat. Michigan dominated Western Michigan but didn’t quite slam the door on the Bronco. Stay the hell away from this game, or flip a coin.

ACC and SEC previews are coming up tomorrow. Keep following along...

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